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LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $323K Liquidity: $666K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?100%
Match Winner76%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lol: red canids vs vivo keyd stars (bo3) - cblol regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between RED Canids and Vivo Keyd Stars in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED C…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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