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LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Which venue prices "LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? 99% O/U 2.5 Games 72% Game 2 Winner 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 51% Volume: $330K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?99%
O/U 2.5 Games72%
Game 2 Winner69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)48%
Match Winner42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 99% probability to lol: los vs loud (bo3) - cblol regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between LOS and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match aga…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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