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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 66% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $505K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?56%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?43%
Game 1 Winner40%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?40%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)38%
Any Player Quadra Kill35%
Match Winner34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor29%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors29%
Any Player Penta Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill28%

Market context

Market consensus: 72% chance of lol: dplus kia vs gen.g (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

We read LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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