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LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets

Which venue prices "LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 72% LDU de Quito O/U 0.5 60% LDU de Quito O/U 2.5 50% Mirassol FC O/U 0.5 50% Volume: $127K Liquidity: $580K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.572%
LDU de Quito O/U 0.560%
LDU de Quito O/U 2.550%
Mirassol FC O/U 0.550%
Mirassol FC O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
LDU de Quito 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
LDU de Quito 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Mirassol FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Mirassol FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
LDU de Quito O/U 1.540%
O/U 1.535%
Both Teams to Score35%
LDU de Quito (-2.5)30%
Mirassol FC O/U 2.523%
LDU de Quito (-1.5)22%
Mirassol FC (-1.5)14%
O/U 2.512%
O/U 4.57%
O/U 3.54%
Mirassol FC (-2.5)1%
LDU de Quito 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
LDU de Quito 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 72% YES probability for LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets. More markets for the Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for August 20 at 6:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We read LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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Related Topics

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