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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 0.5 90% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5 74% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% O/U 1.5 68% Volume: $67K Liquidity: $3.2M Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.574%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.568%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.564%
1st Half O/U 0.563%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
Both Teams to Score49%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.543%
Deportivo Alavés 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
O/U 2.540%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.538%
2nd Half O/U 1.537%
Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 0.535%
1st Half O/U 1.526%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
O/U 3.520%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)19%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 1.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
2nd Half O/U 2.515%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.513%
Deportivo Alavés 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)10%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 1.510%
O/U 4.59%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.58%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)7%
Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 1.57%
O/U 5.53%
Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)2%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to rayo vallecano de madrid vs. deportivo alavés - more markets. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for August 20 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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