Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 94% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.5 | 81% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 79% |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 71% |
| Levante UD O/U 0.5 | 71% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% |
| O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Levante UD 1st Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 1st Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 2nd Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| Levante UD O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Levante UD 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 2nd Half (-1.5) | 49% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Levante UD 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Levante UD O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Levante UD 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Levante UD O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 30% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña (-1.5) | 22% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 20% |
| Levante UD 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half (-1.5) | 16% |
| O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña (-4.5) | 13% |
| Levante UD (-4.5) | 12% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña (-5.5) | 12% |
| Levante UD (-5.5) | 12% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Levante UD O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Levante UD (-1.5) | 11% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña 1st Half (-1.5) | 10% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña (-2.5) | 9% |
| O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Levante UD 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Levante UD 1st Half (-1.5) | 5% |
| Levante UD (-2.5) | 4% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña (-3.5) | 3% |
| 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Levante UD O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| O/U 6.5 | 2% |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 4.5 | 2% |
| Levante UD (-3.5) | 1% |
| O/U 7.5 | 1% |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of rc deportivo a coruña vs. levante ud - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for October 16 at 3:00 PM ET.
Methodology
We read RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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