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Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $339K Liquidity: $761K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Paper Rex (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Paper Rex (+7.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Paper Rex (+5.5)50%
Match Winner14%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: paper rex vs nrg (bo3) - esports world cup group b. This market refers to the Valorant match between Paper Rex and NRG in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex …

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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