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Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Which venue prices "Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Volume: $605K Liquidity: $553K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 2 Winner96%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner37%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 1 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team …

Methodology

This page compares Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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