Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-8.5) vs Global Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs Global Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-8.5) vs Global Esports (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs Global Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs Global Esports (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs Global Esports (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs Global Esports (+5.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs Global Esports (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs Global Esports (+7.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-9.5) vs Global Esports (+9.5) | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-9.5) vs Global Esports (+9.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-11.5) vs Global Esports (+11.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-10.5) vs Global Esports (+10.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: mibr vs global esports (bo3) - esports world cup group d. This market refers to the Valorant match between MIBR and Global Esports in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win …
Methodology
We read Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports Wor… on Polymarket Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →