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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Which venue prices "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 65% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 56% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $378K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.565%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)54%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)53%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)53%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)46%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)45%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.535%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.534%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.533%
Map 1 Winner27%
Map 2 Winner26%
Match Winner20%

Market context

The Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha prediction market currently prices this outcome at 67% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Genius…

Methodology

We read Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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