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Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

Which venue prices "Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $200K Liquidity: $452K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)73%
Match Winner67%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: all gamers vs bilibili gaming (bo3) - vct china stage 2 group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between All Gamers and Bilibili Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "All Ga…

Methodology

We read Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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