Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Alternative Pick polygram.ink |
18% | 82% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
18% | 82% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Alternative.
Active sub-markets
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| Fiziev to win by KO/TKO? | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Torres to win by KO/TKO? | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Fight won by submission? | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 77% Over | 24% Under |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: rafael fiziev vs. manuel torres (lightweight, main card) stands at 18% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Rafael Fiziev" if Rafael Fiziev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manuel Torres at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled f…
Methodology
This page compares UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card) specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Alternative is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Li… on Polymarket Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Polymarket Alternative →