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UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% O/U 1.5 Rounds 79% O/U 2.5 Rounds 67% Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola 60% Volume: $224K Liquidity: $247K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds93%
O/U 1.5 Rounds79%
O/U 2.5 Rounds67%
Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola60%
Fight to Go the Distance?59%
Fight won by KO/TKO?23%
Fight won by submission?17%
Ziam to win by KO/TKO?14%
Sola to win by KO/TKO?9%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to ufc fight night: farés ziam vs. axel sola (lightweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Farés Ziam" if Farés Ziam is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93% for "UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $224K.

Methodology

We read UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card) from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets