Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Hellas Verona will host AS Roma in a Serie A fixture on 24 May 2026, with the market currently pricing Roma's victory at 10% implied probability across major platforms. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on match day, aligning with typical European football market conventions. Polymarket's decimal odds representation (roughly 10.0) differs visually from Kalshi's American moneyline format, whilst Betfair and Smarkets display traditional fractional odds, creating friction for cross-platform comparison despite identical underlying probabilities. Fee structures diverge meaningfully: Polymarket charges 2% on winnings, Kalshi applies a 5% taker fee, and Betfair's commission scales from 2–5% depending on liquidity tier, affecting effective returns on low-probability outcomes where Roma's 10% odds sit.

Roma's recent form and squad availability heading into late May will determine whether this probability holds. The club's European commitments and domestic title race positioning in spring 2026 will influence team selection and motivation; Verona, conversely, typically competes for mid-table finishes and rarely poses significant threats to established sides. KYC requirements favour Kalshi and Polymarket for US-based traders, whilst Betfair and Smarkets accept broader international participation without US residency restrictions, potentially fragmenting liquidity across venues. Historical Serie A data shows visiting Roma sides win approximately 45–50% of fixtures against lower-ranked opponents, suggesting the 10% probability may undervalue Roma's baseline strength, though Verona's home record and late-season fatigue factors warrant scrutiny before settlement.

Methodology

This page compares Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.