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AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% AC Monza O/U 0.5 100% AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $477K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 19 Oct 2026
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AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
AC Monza O/U 0.5100%
AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.577%
2nd Half O/U 0.574%
AC Monza O/U 1.564%
Both Teams to Score58%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.558%
2nd Half O/U 1.557%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half53%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
AC Monza 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
AC Monza 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
AC Monza 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
AC Monza 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
AC Monza 2nd Half O/U 2.549%
Cagliari Calcio (-5.5)46%
AC Monza (-4.5)45%
Cagliari Calcio (-4.5)44%
O/U 2.544%
AC Monza (-1.5)37%
AC Monza (-3.5)34%
AC Monza O/U 3.530%
AC Monza O/U 5.530%
2nd Half O/U 2.530%
AC Monza O/U 2.529%
O/U 3.528%
AC Monza O/U 4.527%
AC Monza (-5.5)24%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 4.521%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 5.521%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.520%
O/U 8.516%
AC Monza 2nd Half (-1.5)16%
O/U 7.515%
AC Monza (-2.5)14%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 3.513%
O/U 4.511%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 2.510%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half (-1.5)8%
Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)3%
O/U 5.52%
Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)1%
Cagliari Calcio (-3.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
AC Monza 1st Half O/U 1.50%
AC Monza 1st Half O/U 2.50%
AC Monza 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half (-2.5)0%
AC Monza 1st Half (-2.5)0%
AC Monza 1st Half (-1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ac monza vs. cagliari calcio - more markets. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 19 at 12:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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