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Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Which venue prices "Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

St Mirren FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $338K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
St Mirren FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC O/U 1.5100%
St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Falkirk FC O/U 0.51%
St Mirren FC O/U 2.51%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
St Mirren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
Falkirk FC (-1.5)0%
Falkirk FC (-2.5)0%
St Mirren FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Falkirk FC O/U 1.50%
Falkirk FC O/U 2.50%
Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Falkirk FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
St Mirren FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Falkirk FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%

Market context

Falkirk’s home meeting with St Mirren is priced at a crowd-implied **0% YES** for “More Markets”, which on Polymarket usually reflects either a missing contract detail, a stale order book, or a binary no-trade placeholder rather than a true sporting consensus. By comparison, Kalshi and Betfair normally express the same situation in decimal odds and implied probability, so a zero-per-cent read on one platform can map to an unquoted or illiquid book elsewhere; Smarkets typically adds a straightforward commission overlay, while Polymarket pricing is closer to a pure crowd snapshot. Recent head-to-head data do not support an automatic wipe-out either way: the clubs have split a long series fairly evenly in some datasets, and ESPN lists the last five league meetings as Falkirk 1 win, St Mirren 1 win, and 3 draws, including Falkirk’s 2-0 away win in January 2026 and St Mirren’s 2-1 away win in September 2025.[1][8][17]

The main catalysts are lineup and competition-dependent rather than headline injury news. Sky Sports’ recent form lines show Falkirk entering the fixture after a mixed Premier Sports Cup run and St Mirren after a strong cup start followed by a 0-1 loss to Dunfermline, so any late team news, rotation, or schedule clarification could move secondary markets more than the match-up itself.[4] Traders comparing books should also watch whether a market is open to their jurisdiction: Betfair and Smarkets require KYC and have broader regulated reach in some markets, while availability and fee treatment can differ materially from Polymarket’s on-chain structure, affecting how quickly small probabilities reprice when line-ups are confirmed.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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