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KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Pogon Szczecin (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $497K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Pogon Szczecin (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5100%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
KS Cracovia Krakow (-1.5)0%
KS Cracovia Krakow (-2.5)0%
Pogon Szczecin (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 1.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 2.50%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

KS Cracovia and Pogoń Szczecin are meeting in the Ekstraklasa, and the market’s 0% crowd-implied **YES** reflects how little the crowd is willing to pay for any extra-market trigger rather than the match result itself. In the head-to-head record, Pogoń have had the slight edge over time: FootyStats lists 13 wins for Pogoń, 8 for Cracovia and 8 draws across 29 meetings, while AIScore shows a very similar split over 35 games, with Pogoń and Cracovia separated by only a narrow margin in wins and goals scored.[3][7][20]

For a platform-comparison read, this kind of “more markets” contract is easier to misprice on venues that show either implied probability or decimal odds without the same fee and access frictions. Polymarket-style pricing is displayed as a percentage, while Betfair and Smarkets typically quote decimal-style market prices and then apply commission, so the same outcome can look cheaper or richer depending on whether the trader is thinking net of fees; Kalshi’s US-only KYC/access rules also matter for who can trade at all, whereas Betfair and Smarkets have broader international reach but still enforce identity checks and market-specific restrictions.

The main catalysts are late team news and any pre-kickoff market-definition details: line-ups, injuries, postponed-start risk, and whether the exchange or venue treats added substitutions, cards, corners, or other secondary markets as live for this fixture. Public match listings show the game as scheduled for 3 August 2026, but the exact set of “more markets” can only be confirmed once the operator publishes the final market menu and settlement rules for this match.[1][10][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We read KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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