Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| SK Brann O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SK Brann O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Start O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| SK Brann 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SK Brann 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Start 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SK Brann (-1.5) | 0% |
| IK Start (-1.5) | 0% |
| SK Brann (-2.5) | 0% |
| IK Start (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SK Brann O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IK Start O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IK Start O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SK Brann 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SK Brann 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IK Start 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IK Start 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IK Start 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
SK Brann face IK Start at Brann Stadion in Bergen for a Norway Eliteserien match kicking off at 15:00 UTC on 12 July 2026. Brann, holding 11th place with 13 points, are overwhelming favourites against 16th-placed Start, who have just 7 points after 14 games [8]. Traditional bookmakers price Brann at -286, implying a 74% win probability, while Start sit at +600 odds [3].
Historical head-to-head data shows Brann winning eight of their previous 16 meetings against Start, with four draws and four Start victories [6]. The last encounter ended 1–0 to Brann, reinforcing their dominance in this fixture [6]. In prediction markets, a 0% crowd-implied probability for any “more markets” outcome (such as a specific scoreline or double chance) diverges sharply from traditional implied probabilities; platforms like Kalshi use decimal probabilities directly, whereas Betfair and Smarkets display decimal odds, creating friction for traders comparing value across venues. Fee structures also vary: Polymarket charges no platform fee on wins but has gas costs, while Betfair imposes commission on net winnings, affecting long-term yield calculations.
Traders should monitor final lineups and any in-play tactical shifts, as Brann’s recent 2–1 home loss may signal vulnerability despite their favourite status [3]. No major announcements have altered the pre-match landscape, but live stats on ESPN and FOX Sports will provide real-time catalysts for secondary markets [2][5]. For users comparing platforms, note that KYC requirements differ significantly: Kalshi mandates full identity verification for US residents, whereas Polymarket and Smarkets offer more accessible entry with lighter checks, impacting market depth and liquidity on niche Eliteserien props.
Methodology
This page compares SK Brann vs. IK Start - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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