Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Moneyline | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 99% |
| O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| O/U 26.5 | 73% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles | 71% |
| O/U 18.5 | 57% |
| O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| O/U 28.5 | 52% |
| O/U 42.5 | 52% |
| O/U 46.5 | 52% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| O/U 32.5 | 44% |
| O/U 36.5 | 33% |
| O/U 38.5 | 31% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| O/U 40.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 44.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| O/U 50.5 | 5% |
| O/U 56.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bengals vs. Eagles. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 71% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-29T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $126K.
Methodology
We read Bengals vs. Eagles from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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