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Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 95% O/U 1.5 84% FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5 83% Orlando City SC O/U 0.5 82% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $426K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
O/U 1.584%
FC Cincinnati O/U 0.583%
Orlando City SC O/U 0.582%
2nd Half O/U 0.573%
2nd Half O/U 1.573%
1st Half O/U 0.564%
Both Teams to Score63%
O/U 2.561%
2nd Half O/U 2.561%
FC Cincinnati O/U 1.558%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
Orlando City SC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Orlando City SC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
FC Cincinnati 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Orlando City SC O/U 1.546%
Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 0.543%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half O/U 0.538%
O/U 3.537%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Orlando City SC O/U 2.522%
Orlando City SC (-1.5)20%
O/U 4.518%
FC Cincinnati O/U 2.518%
FC Cincinnati (-1.5)17%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 1.59%
Orlando City SC (-2.5)8%
O/U 5.58%
FC Cincinnati 1st Half O/U 1.58%
FC Cincinnati (-2.5)7%
1st Half O/U 2.56%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to orlando city sc vs. fc cincinnati - more markets. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 15 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We read Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

Sports