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LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 83% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 83% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 66% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 61% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $353K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon83%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon83%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor54%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Game 1 Winner50%
Game 2 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?34%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor15%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor15%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%

Market context

Market consensus: 83% chance of lol: sk gaming vs fnatic (bo3) - lec regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming…

Methodology

We read LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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