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LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Which venue prices "LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Any Player Quadra Kill 54% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $403K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Game 2 Winner41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)39%
Game 1 Winner35%
Match Winner35%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group — current market-implied probability: 65%. This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Esports Academy and T1 Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. Th…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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