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LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 60% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 55% Volume: $124K Liquidity: $691K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Game 2 Winner47%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
Match Winner45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

The LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend prediction market currently prices this outcome at 78% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 22 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming …

Methodology

We read LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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