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LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $2.8M Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?68%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: fnatic vs movistar koi (bo3) - lec regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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