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LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Any Player Penta Kill 62% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $655K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Any Player Penta Kill62%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?46%
Game 1 Winner42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Game 2 Winner41%
Odd/Even Total Kills41%
Match Winner38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)36%
Any Player Quadra Kill34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?33%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%

Market context

The LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend prediction market currently prices this outcome at 80% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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