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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Which venue prices "LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 53% Odd/Even Total Kills 53% Volume: $536K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon53%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)0%

Market context

The LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers Challengers and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 10 at 4:00AM ET. …

Methodology

We read LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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