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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Odd/Even Total Kills 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $2.7M Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?99%
O/U 3.5 Games77%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?74%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?74%
Game 2 Winner59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Game 4 Winner47%
Game 3 Winner46%
O/U 4.5 Games39%
Match Winner34%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)28%
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)22%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: hanjin brion vs bnk fearx (bo5) - lck play-in. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

We read LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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