Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland will face Haiti in a World Cup group-stage match on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The halftime result market isolates outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time, offering traders a narrower window than full-match betting. The 0% implied probability on the YES outcome (Haiti ahead at halftime) reflects Scotland's substantial ranking advantage and historical edge in early-stage dominance, though the market's extreme confidence warrants scrutiny across platforms.

Haiti's FIFA ranking sits around 80th globally, whilst Scotland occupies roughly 40th place. In comparable World Cup group fixtures between sides of this calibre, the higher-ranked team establishes possession and territorial control within the first half in roughly 70% of cases. Scotland's recent qualifying campaign showed consistent early-match pressure; they scored in the opening 20 minutes in four of their last six competitive matches. Haiti's defensive record in CONCACAF qualifying involved conceding early goals in three of their final five fixtures. The 0% probability on Kalshi and Polymarket reflects this asymmetry, though Betfair's decimal odds occasionally price marginal scenarios differently due to their liquidity depth and fee structure (5% commission versus Polymarket's variable taker fees).

Traders should monitor team news releases through early June, particularly injury updates affecting Scotland's attacking midfield and Haiti's defensive line. Weather conditions at the venue—humidity and pitch state—can affect first-half tempo. Polymarket's settlement window closes at 01:00 UTC on 14 June, six hours after the final whistle, allowing time for official confirmation. Kalshi's earlier settlement and KYC requirements may appeal to US-based traders seeking quicker resolution, whilst Smarkets' fractional odds format suits those comparing decimal conversions across books.

Methodology

This page compares Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). Polymarket Alternative routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Alternative?

Zero. Polymarket Alternative routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.