Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Alternative Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Alternative → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Alternative.
Active sub-markets
| Switzerland (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Jordan (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Switzerland (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Switzerland and Jordan are scheduled to play a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market in question tracks whether additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture across major platforms. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that major bookmakers will create supplementary wagering options—such as exact score, player performance, or card-related props—once the match approaches. This baseline expectation is standard for international friendlies involving UEFA nations, where liquidity and market depth typically expand as kick-off nears.
Historical precedent suggests that friendlies involving established European sides attract layered market coverage. UEFA nations playing in May typically see Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, and Smarkets all expand their offerings within 72 hours of fixture confirmation. Polymarket's decimal-odds interface and lower KYC friction have historically drawn retail volume on such events, whilst Kalshi's US-focused regulatory framework sometimes limits non-US participation on sports markets. Betfair and Smarkets, operating under UK gambling licences, maintain broader European access and typically offer the widest prop selection. The fee structures diverge materially: Polymarket's 2% maker-taker model versus Betfair's 5% commission on winnings creates different incentive profiles for market makers seeding secondary bets.
The catalyst for market expansion will be official fixture confirmation and squad announcements, typically released 10–14 days before the match. Swiss and Jordanian federation statements regarding participation will trigger platform activity. Traders should monitor whether either nation rests key players, which would influence prop-market depth and the probability that platforms deem the fixture sufficiently liquid to justify secondary markets.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $228K.
Methodology
This page compares Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book; the other venues' contract details are maintained manually because their APIs aren't directly comparable. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Alternative?
- Zero. Polymarket Alternative routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Alternative triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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