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Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 0.5 94% Arsenal FC O/U 0.5 86% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 78% O/U 1.5 77% Volume: $350K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
Arsenal FC O/U 0.586%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
O/U 1.577%
1st Half O/U 0.571%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 0.567%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 0.558%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.558%
Arsenal FC O/U 1.557%
O/U 2.553%
Both Teams to Score50%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 4.549%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 5.549%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 2.547%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half (-1.5)46%
2nd Half O/U 1.545%
2nd Half O/U 3.538%
Arsenal FC (-1.5)36%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
2nd Half O/U 4.534%
O/U 3.530%
Arsenal FC O/U 2.530%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 0.530%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 1.530%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 2.528%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-1.5)28%
1st Half O/U 4.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.521%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.521%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Arsenal FC (-2.5)18%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-1.5)16%
O/U 4.514%
Arsenal FC O/U 3.514%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
Nottingham Forest FC (-4.5)12%
Nottingham Forest FC (-5.5)12%
Arsenal FC (-5.5)12%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half O/U 1.59%
Nottingham Forest FC 2nd Half O/U 1.58%
Arsenal FC (-3.5)7%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 2.57%
O/U 5.56%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 2.55%
Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)4%
Arsenal FC O/U 4.54%
1st Half O/U 3.53%
Nottingham Forest FC 1st Half (-1.5)3%
Arsenal FC (-4.5)2%
O/U 6.52%
Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Nottingham Forest FC O/U 3.51%
Arsenal FC O/U 5.51%
Nottingham Forest FC (-3.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 4% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-18T15:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page compares Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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