Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Crawley Town FC (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Crawley Town FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Crawley Town FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Crawley Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Crawley Town FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| York City FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| York City FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Crawley Town FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| York City FC O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| York City FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| York City FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Crawley Town FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Crawley Town FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Crawley Town FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
York City’s Carabao Cup meeting with Crawley Town has not moved the crowd off a 0% yes price for the “more markets” contract, so the market is effectively saying there is no consensus on whether any additional prop or side market will be resolved before the settlement window closes. Recent comparable meetings between the clubs have been tight: the head-to-head record is split between a Crawley win and a draw across the last two meetings cited by FootyStats, while older records on ESPN show low-scoring, evenly balanced League Two and Conference-era encounters. That history matters more on Polymarket-style binary contracts than on Betfair or Smarkets, where the same fixture would usually be framed through decimal odds and exchange liquidity rather than an all-or-nothing implied probability. [2][6]
For traders, the key catalysts are squad and competition announcements rather than the fixture itself: the BBC’s live coverage notes the EFL Cup tie, while Sky Sports lists the match at the LNER Community Stadium and provides the most recent form lines, with York ending last season unbeaten in several league games and Crawley’s final league matches producing mixed results. On Kalshi or Polymarket, any late confirmation of line-ups, postponement risk, or a change in what the platform counts as a “more markets” settlement event can matter more than the match odds; on Smarkets or Betfair, fees, market depth, and regional KYC access would also affect pricing and whether a trader can even participate. [3][10]
Methodology
We read York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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