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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Which venue prices "Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Ends in Daytime 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $220K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: yellow submarine vs vici gaming (bo3) - games of the future group a. This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between Yellow Submarine and Vici Gaming in the Games of the Future Group A, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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