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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5) 100% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Walczaki (+9.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-12.5) vs Walczaki (+12.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Walczaki (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-12.5) vs Walczaki (+12.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Gentle Mates and Walczaki in the StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for July 24 at 12:00PM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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