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Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A

Which venue prices "Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $253K Liquidity: $181K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-3.5) vs UNO MILLE (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-6.5) vs UNO MILLE (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: UNO MILLE (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-3.5) vs UNO MILLE (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-6.5) vs UNO MILLE (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs UNO MILLE (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-9.5) vs UNO MILLE (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-12.5) vs UNO MILLE (+12.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-3.5) vs UNO MILLE (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-6.5) vs UNO MILLE (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: UNO MILLE (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: UNO MILLE (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Isurus and UNO MILLE in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A, initially scheduled for July 8 at 9:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group A specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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