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Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Which venue prices "Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 0.5 97% Trabzonspor O/U 0.5 95% O/U 1.5 89% 1st Half O/U 0.5 81% Volume: $104K Liquidity: $403K Closes: 22 Oct 2026
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Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
Trabzonspor O/U 0.595%
O/U 1.589%
1st Half O/U 0.581%
Trabzonspor O/U 1.577%
Trabzonspor 1st Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 2.571%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.560%
Both Teams to Score56%
Trabzonspor (-1.5)55%
Trabzonspor O/U 2.552%
O/U 3.550%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-5.5)49%
1st Half O/U 1.549%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 4.549%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 5.549%
Trabzonspor 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-4.5)46%
Trabzonspor 1st Half O/U 1.535%
Trabzonspor (-2.5)34%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.532%
O/U 4.531%
Trabzonspor O/U 3.528%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.523%
1st Half O/U 2.522%
Both Teams to Score in First Half21%
1st Half O/U 4.519%
Trabzonspor (-3.5)18%
O/U 5.516%
Trabzonspor O/U 4.514%
Trabzonspor 1st Half O/U 2.514%
Trabzonspor (-4.5)13%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.59%
O/U 6.58%
1st Half O/U 3.58%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.57%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 3.56%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 2.56%
Trabzonspor O/U 5.55%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)3%
Trabzonspor (-5.5)3%
O/U 7.53%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-3.5)0%

Market context

Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 55% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-22T16:45:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

We read Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports