Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 96% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 93% |
| Spread -4.5 | 92% |
| Spread -5.5 | 92% |
| O/U 34.5 | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 89% |
| Spread -7.5 | 85% |
| Spread -9.5 | 85% |
| O/U 40.5 | 79% |
| Spread -10.5 | 77% |
| Spread -11.5 | 75% |
| Spread -13.5 | 69% |
| Spread -14.5 | 64% |
| Spread -16.5 | 63% |
| Kansas State O/U 30.5 | 59% |
| Spread -17.5 | 55% |
| Kansas State O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| Washington State O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Spread -26.5 | 52% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Avery Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rodney Fields Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joe Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Garrett Oakley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kirby Vorhees: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joshua Manning: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caden Pinnick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaron Tibbs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jay Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tony Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon White: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Leo Pulalasi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Anciaux: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tank Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Daniel Blood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darrius Clemons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Dees: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derrick Salley Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maxwell Woods: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Adonis Moise: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jay Porter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -38.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Linkon Cure: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Spread -20.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Kansas State O/U 37.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Kansas State O/U 34.5 | 38% |
| Washington State O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Spread -21.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 50.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| Spread -23.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 26% |
| Spread -24.5 | 23% |
| O/U 54.5 | 22% |
| Spread -27.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 16% |
| Spread -35.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Washington State vs. Kansas State | 4% |
| O/U 70.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Washington State vs. Kansas State. In the upcoming college football game between Washington State and Kansas State, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the ga…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $157K.
Methodology
This page compares Washington State vs. Kansas State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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