Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 96% |
| Spread -1.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 92% |
| Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 90% |
| Spread -7.5 | 88% |
| Spread -8.5 | 88% |
| O/U 38.5 | 87% |
| O/U 40.5 | 84% |
| Spread -10.5 | 83% |
| Illinois O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 79% |
| O/U 42.5 | 79% |
| Spread -14.5 | 77% |
| O/U 44.5 | 76% |
| Illinois O/U 37.5 | 76% |
| Spread -16.5 | 74% |
| UAB O/U 13.5 | 73% |
| Spread -17.5 | 72% |
| O/U 46.5 | 72% |
| O/U 35.5 | 71% |
| O/U 37.5 | 69% |
| Spread -20.5 | 66% |
| UAB O/U 16.5 | 66% |
| Illinois O/U 42.5 | 65% |
| O/U 48.5 | 63% |
| Spread -21.5 | 62% |
| O/U 50.5 | 61% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 61% |
| Illinois O/U 45.5 | 60% |
| UAB O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| Illinois O/U 48.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Spread -24.5 | 55% |
| UAB 1H O/U 6.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 55% |
| O/U 52.5 | 54% |
| Spread -25.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| UAB 1H O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Illinois O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -26.5 | 49% |
| 2H Moneyline | 48% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Spread -27.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 46% |
| Illinois O/U 41.5 | 45% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 45% |
| O/U 55.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| O/U 56.5 | 42% |
| Spread: Illinois (-28.5) | 41% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| O/U 58.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -31.5 | 33% |
| O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| O/U 62.5 | 28% |
| Spread -34.5 | 26% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| O/U 66.5 | 21% |
| O/U 68.5 | 14% |
| O/U 70.5 | 13% |
| O/U 72.5 | 10% |
| O/U 76.5 | 10% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| O/U 74.5 | 9% |
| UAB vs. Illinois | 4% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, uab vs. illinois stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 3 at 9:00PM ET: If UAB wins, the market will resolve to "UAB". If Illinois wins, the market will resolve to "Illinois…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $68K.
Methodology
This page compares UAB vs. Illinois specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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