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Texas State vs. Texas

Cross-platform snapshot for "Texas State vs. Texas": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Spread: Texas (-30.5) 100% O/U 60.5 100% O/U 59.5 100% Spread -29.5 100% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $4K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Texas State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread: Texas (-30.5)100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
Spread -29.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
Spread -24.5100%
Spread -27.5100%
Spread -31.5100%
Spread -34.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
1H Spread -15.5100%
1H Spread -16.5100%
1H Spread -17.5100%
1H Spread -18.5100%
1H Spread -19.5100%
2H Spread -10.5100%
2H Spread -11.5100%
2H Spread -12.5100%
2H Spread -13.5100%
2H Spread -14.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -8.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -7.5100%
4Q Spread -8.5100%
Texas O/U 38.5100%
Texas O/U 41.5100%
Texas O/U 44.5100%
Texas O/U 47.5100%
Texas O/U 50.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 22.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 24.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 26.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 18.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 20.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 22.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -15.5100%
2H Spread -16.591%
2H Spread -17.591%
2H Spread -18.591%
2H Spread -19.591%
2H Spread -20.591%
Texas State O/U 1.550%
Texas O/U 5.550%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kaliq Lockett: Anytime Touchdown50%
LaKeyleon Graves: Anytime Touchdown50%
Zechariah Sample: Anytime Touchdown50%
Blake Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Moneyline10%
Texas State vs. Texas0%
O/U 66.50%
O/U 68.50%
O/U 70.50%
O/U 72.50%
O/U 74.50%
O/U 76.50%
O/U 78.50%
O/U 80.50%
2H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q Spread -12.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Texas State O/U 8.50%
Texas State O/U 11.50%
Texas State O/U 14.50%
Texas State O/U 17.50%
Texas State O/U 20.50%
Texas State 1H O/U 8.50%
Texas State 2H O/U 5.50%
Texas State 2H O/U 7.50%
Texas State 2H O/U 9.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%

Market context

The Texas State vs. Texas prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State". If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread: Texas (-30.5) at 100% for "Texas State vs. Texas".

Spread: Texas (-30.5) 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.

Methodology

This page compares Texas State vs. Texas specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports