Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 89% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 36.5 | 82% |
| O/U 38.5 | 77% |
| Texas O/U 18.5 | 75% |
| O/U 40.5 | 74% |
| Ohio State O/U 18.5 | 74% |
| Ohio State O/U 17.5 | 74% |
| Texas O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 66% |
| O/U 44.5 | 63% |
| Texas O/U 21.5 | 63% |
| Ohio State O/U 21.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| Texas O/U 22.5 | 61% |
| O/U 46.5 | 60% |
| O/U 47.5 | 57% |
| Ohio State O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Texas O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 48.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Spread: Texas (-1.5) | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Simon: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Texas O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 49% |
| Texas O/U 25.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Ohio State O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Ohio State vs. Texas | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 52.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Texas O/U 27.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| Ohio State O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| Texas O/U 28.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 56.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| Texas O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 29% |
| O/U 58.5 | 28% |
| Ohio State O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Texas O/U 31.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| Spread -34.5 | 24% |
| O/U 62.5 | 22% |
| Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| O/U 64.5 | 19% |
| Spread -12.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| O/U 66.5 | 15% |
| Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Spread -11.5 | 15% |
| Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Spread -12.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| O/U 68.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -31.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -18.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of ohio state vs. texas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. Th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $138K.
Methodology
We read Ohio State vs. Texas from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Ohio State vs. Texas on Polymarket Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →