Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| North Dakota State vs. Air Force | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| O/U 66.5 | 100% |
| O/U 68.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Air Force O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Air Force O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Air Force O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Air Force O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Air Force O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| North Dakota State O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| Air Force O/U 2.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| North Dakota State O/U 2.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Air Force 2H O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| DJ Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Liam Szarka: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Myles Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rocco Conti: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mekhi Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nathan Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kemper Hodges: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reis Kessel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keegan Sack: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Long: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Kiel: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonah Dawson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gage LaDue: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Rauh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isiah St. Romain: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Logan Conklin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mason Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 10% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 10% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| North Dakota State 2H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| Spread -31.5 | 1% |
| Spread -0.5 | 1% |
| Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Air Force 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of north dakota state vs. air force. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Air Force, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $252K.
Methodology
This page compares North Dakota State vs. Air Force specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
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