Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Stanford | 95% |
| Spread -0.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 92% |
| Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| Spread -8.5 | 90% |
| O/U 28.5 | 90% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| Spread -1.5 | 89% |
| 1H Moneyline | 89% |
| Spread -6.5 | 88% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| Spread -7.5 | 86% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| Spread -10.5 | 81% |
| O/U 36.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 77% |
| Spread -14.5 | 75% |
| Spread -16.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| Spread -17.5 | 69% |
| O/U 40.5 | 68% |
| Spread -20.5 | 66% |
| O/U 42.5 | 63% |
| O/U 44.5 | 59% |
| Spread -21.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 57% |
| Spread -23.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 54% |
| O/U 46.5 | 52% |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-24.5) | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Stanford O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Stanford O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Stanford O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Stanford 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stanford O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mark Fletcher Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malachi Toney: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cooper Barkate: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darian Mensah: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CharMar Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elija Lofton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Lyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Girard Pringle Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Vandrevius Jacobs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Daylyn Upshaw: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joshua Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Atticus Joseph: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonanthony Hall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Benji Blackburn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davis Warren: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sedrick Irvin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gavin Mueller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zion Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Liam Thorpe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Onovughe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tuna Altahir: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chico Holt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 47% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| O/U 48.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| Stanford O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Spread -27.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 40% |
| Spread -31.5 | 36% |
| O/U 52.5 | 35% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| Spread -34.5 | 23% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| O/U 58.5 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 18% |
| O/U 62.5 | 14% |
| O/U 64.5 | 12% |
| O/U 68.5 | 8% |
| O/U 66.5 | 7% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to miami (fl) vs. stanford. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 4 at 9:00PM ET: If Miami (FL) wins, the market will resolve to "Miami (FL)". If Stanford wins, the market will resolve to "Stanford". If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $107K.
Methodology
We read Miami (FL) vs. Stanford from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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