Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) | 92% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -4.5 | 78% |
| Spread -5.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| George Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Seth Cromwell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Herman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kanye Udoh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Camden Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deshawn Purdie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kam Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peyton Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah Harrison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Corey Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Person: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rashawn Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makai Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cole Keller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braeden Wisloski: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jon Monteiro: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lee Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Za'Ron Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 49% |
| James Madison O/U 30.5 | 35% |
| James Madison O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Liberty O/U 21.5 | 17% |
| Liberty O/U 27.5 | 17% |
| Liberty O/U 16.5 | 17% |
| Liberty O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| O/U 35.5 | 16% |
| James Madison O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| James Madison O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 41.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| O/U 59.5 | 6% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 52.5 | 5% |
| O/U 51.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| O/U 47.5 | 5% |
| O/U 53.5 | 5% |
| O/U 50.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| O/U 55.5 | 3% |
| Spread -24.5 | 2% |
| Liberty vs. James Madison | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
Market context
Liberty vs. James Madison — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Liberty wins, the market will resolve to "Liberty". If James Madison wins, the market will resolve to "James Madison"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $274K.
Methodology
This page compares Liberty vs. James Madison specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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