Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 46.5 | 93% |
| O/U 44.5 | 92% |
| O/U 48.5 | 90% |
| O/U 50.5 | 85% |
| O/U 52.5 | 82% |
| O/U 54.5 | 80% |
| Spread -5.5 | 75% |
| O/U 56.5 | 72% |
| O/U 58.5 | 70% |
| Indiana O/U 55.5 | 68% |
| O/U 60.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -10.5 | 63% |
| Spread -13.5 | 63% |
| Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| Spread -17.5 | 63% |
| Spread -20.5 | 63% |
| Spread -21.5 | 63% |
| Spread -24.5 | 63% |
| Spread -27.5 | 63% |
| Spread -16.5 | 62% |
| Spread -31.5 | 62% |
| Spread -34.5 | 62% |
| Howard O/U 2.5 | 61% |
| Indiana O/U 58.5 | 60% |
| O/U 62.5 | 56% |
| Spread -55.5 | 55% |
| O/U 64.5 | 52% |
| Indiana O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| Howard O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Indiana O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -32.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -33.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -19.5 | 51% |
| Howard O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Howard O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Howard O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -56.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -36.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -35.5 | 48% |
| O/U 66.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -20.5 | 46% |
| O/U 68.5 | 42% |
| 2H Moneyline | 41% |
| Indiana O/U 64.5 | 40% |
| Howard O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| O/U 70.5 | 35% |
| Indiana O/U 67.5 | 32% |
| O/U 72.5 | 31% |
| O/U 74.5 | 22% |
| O/U 76.5 | 22% |
| O/U 78.5 | 19% |
| Howard O/U 8.5 | 16% |
| O/U 82.5 | 12% |
| O/U 80.5 | 11% |
| O/U 84.5 | 9% |
| Howard vs. Indiana | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, howard vs. indiana stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Howard and Indiana, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Howard" if Howard win the game. This market…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $118K.
Methodology
This page compares Howard vs. Indiana specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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