Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 43.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 73% |
| O/U 47.5 | 73% |
| O/U 53.5 | 67% |
| O/U 39.5 | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| O/U 57.5 | 64% |
| O/U 59.5 | 60% |
| O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Bucknell 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| O/U 65.5 | 44% |
| O/U 71.5 | 39% |
| O/U 69.5 | 32% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh | 0% |
Market context
Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $73K.
Methodology
We read Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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