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Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart - More Markets

Cross-platform snapshot for "Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart - More Markets": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

2nd Half O/U 0.5 54% VfB Stuttgart (-4.5) 50% VfB Stuttgart (-5.5) 50% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 50% Volume: $143K Liquidity: $828K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
2nd Half O/U 0.554%
VfB Stuttgart (-4.5)50%
VfB Stuttgart (-5.5)50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
Hamburger SV 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Hamburger SV 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Hamburger SV 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Hamburger SV 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
VfB Stuttgart 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
VfB Stuttgart 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
VfB Stuttgart 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
VfB Stuttgart 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Hamburger SV (-4.5)49%
Hamburger SV (-5.5)49%
Hamburger SV O/U 4.549%
2nd Half O/U 1.545%
Hamburger SV O/U 0.537%
2nd Half O/U 2.531%
O/U 0.530%
VfB Stuttgart O/U 0.527%
Hamburger SV O/U 3.521%
Hamburger SV O/U 5.521%
Hamburger SV O/U 1.513%
O/U 1.54%
VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.54%
VfB Stuttgart O/U 2.54%
VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)2%
Both Teams to Score2%
VfB Stuttgart O/U 3.52%
VfB Stuttgart O/U 4.52%
VfB Stuttgart O/U 5.52%
VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)1%
VfB Stuttgart (-3.5)1%
Hamburger SV O/U 2.51%
Hamburger SV (-1.5)0%
Hamburger SV (-2.5)0%
Hamburger SV (-3.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Hamburger SV 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Hamburger SV 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Hamburger SV 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Hamburger SV 1st Half O/U 3.50%
VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 0.50%
VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 1.50%
VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 2.50%
VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 1% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T13:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

We read Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports