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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel

Cross-platform snapshot for "Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel 100% Completed Match 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $374K Liquidity: $157K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel100%
Completed Match100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 23.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-0.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to japan open tennis championships, qualification: adolfo vallejo vs taro daniel. This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Taro Daniel in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page compares Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets