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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 Winner 94% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane 90% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 Winner 71% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set Handicap +/-1.5 69% Volume: $208K Liquidity: $436K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 Winner94%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane90%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 Winner71%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set Handicap +/-1.569%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Match O/U 23.552%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Match O/U 21.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Match O/U 22.544%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Total Sets: O/U 2.530%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set Handicap +/-1.55%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane. This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franc…

Methodology

This page compares Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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