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Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $195K Liquidity: $52K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones95%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 8.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-1.574%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 Winner71%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 8.560%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 Winner53%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-2.548%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 4.526%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: brandon nakashima vs jack pinnington jones stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jack Pinnington Jones in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

We read Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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