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Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw

Which venue prices "Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 8.5 79% Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 21.5 60% Completed Match 52% Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 Winner 51% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 28 Oct 2026
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Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 8.579%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 21.560%
Completed Match52%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 Winner51%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 22.551%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 Winner50%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw49%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Game Spread +/-0.547%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Match O/U 23.545%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set Handicap +/-1.530%
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw Set 1 O/U 10.528%

Market context

Market consensus: 79% chance of lyon open: corentin moutet vs felix balshaw. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Felix Balshaw in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page compares Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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