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Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 O/U 8.5 100% Completed Match 100% Volume: $383K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 O/U 8.5100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 36.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 38.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Match O/U 40.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Total Sets: O/U 4.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set Handicap +/-2.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Set 4 Winner0%

Market context

Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Sebastian Ofner in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medje…

Methodology

This page compares Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Polymarket Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Polymarket Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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